Hey, everyone, thanks for the patience. I have been enjoying a very busy leave since this conversation got started. Otherwise I would have been a little more active in it!
Busto963 wrote:
navydave,
I know you think I am being a jerk,
Aww, you're so sweet.
First off, I have to apologize for having written so much. There is too much to cover, and I have already lost my post more than once (damn you Internet Explorer!!!)
Quote:
I am simply trying to point out that without some significant modifications, the BBs are not strike platforms, and will not have a significant roll in current strategic, or operational thinking – which is defined in AirSea Battle.
Just to start this off right
despite what the AirSea Battle doctrine might say, the US Navy says that any ship carrying TLAMs is a strike platform. Even fitted for the 1980s, the Iowas are strike platforms. You must keep in mind that, in the 1980s, they were not only strike platforms, but they were
nuclear strike platforms.
However, I agree, pretty significant but feasible modifications would have to be made to accommodate a large number of TLAMs.
Next, and most important, could you
please repost the link you had up earlier for the AirSea Battle document? The link has gone dead, and I was not able to download it in time. I would really appreciate it. I look forward to being able to read the entire thing. I am very curious what the future strategic outlook may be.
Busto963 wrote:
but I am simply trying to point out that without some significant modifications, the BBs are not strike platforms, and will not have a significant roll in current strategic, or operational thinking – which is defined in AirSea Battle.
I agree! That's why I asked you to look back a few pages. With as much time as you are willing to spend typing I thought you would be happy to read over some of the existing thread. There is great value in seeing what the Navy planned (and authorized) to do with the Iowas. It illustrates what is feasible with the structure. I have since consulted with the Iowa Modernization project manager about what else was feasible, and I have made a final fit. I have already established that a large number of Mk41 VLS would have to be installed aboard the ship to give it a heavy significant strategic value and a greater than "Alpha Strike" capability. Norman Friedman stated that an Alpha Strike is 100 tomahawk land attack cruise missiles (TLAM). The Navy had planned to install 96 Mk41 Mod1 VLS for TLAM in the 1990s. I have consulted with that project manager, and 160 cells is feasible with minimal displacement of existing accommodations. Other structure would have to be ballooned from the existing structure to accommodate the displacement of existing facilities.
Busto963 wrote:
You seem glued to the outdated “From the Sea" doctrine. An operational mind set, which was driven by the USMC in a post Soviet Union world where the U.S. had no peer competitor, and major regional powers had very limited capabilities to conduct effective operations beyond their borders.
I am not glued to any doctrine. I am in favor of the tactical realities of what happens on the ground. The "Forward from the Sea" was simply a statement saying that the Navy had shifted its focus from fighting Soviet groups on the high seas to delivering ordnance on the shore. From your presentation, it sounds like that is exactly what the AirSea Battle does as well. It just incorporates more factors and safety zones. Currently, carrier groups operate much closer than 500 miles to the target/potential target areas right now. The AirSea Battle restrictions obviously do not apply as of now.
carr recapped my points well, and TimmyC made a very good point. The AirSea battle is clearly a very large scale Strategic vision. Just because the US all of a sudden perceives a peer competitor does not mean anything has changed. It only means that the head has been pulled out of the sand, and "all future conflicts" are no longer low-intensity conflicts as some have claimed. The realities of operations in Libya where we expended over $250 million in TLAMs, blew about 15% of the fixed inventory. We have ongoing operations in Somalia and other coastal African countries where our DDGs and CGs have been called to perform NSFS. The SEALs who have called in the 5" gunfire on enemy positions and troops speak very, very poorly about the accuracy and effect of 5" gunfire. They called for naval gunfire, because there were no carriers around. There were no bombers around. There were no AC-130s around. Nothing but a ship was able to get in range. SEALs speak very poorly of TLAMs for support as well. They take so long to arrive on station that the enemy has already moved to a new/unknown position since the call for fire was initiated.
This calls for an off topic solution to NGFS. The long-term solution to the NGFS problem is not battleships or AGS, TACTOM or TACAIR.
The long-term solution to the NSFS problem is the Mk71 MCLWG. The Mk71 8" gun operates like the Mk45 5" guns, and it fires a projectile that is big enough to offer maximum versatility in precision and extended range capabilities. The Mk71 is small enough to be installed on all new combatants, and it only requires the same manning as a Mk45 5" gun.
The last time the HASC examined battleship reactivation it was at the behest of the USNFSA, and they were focused on NGFS (now known as NSFS). Now it's time to step outside of the box. NSFS needs to be only one aspect of the battleship's focus. I know you believe this to be an old view point, but being old does not make it invalid or any less true. Sixty to 80% of the Third World targets of interest are still within 20-50 nm of the coast. This is a fact. The Afghanistan campaign is not, nor is the Iraqi campaign, but a majority of the rest are. These areas of interest either draw aircraft carriers from other needed campaigns and leave other areas without needed carrier attention, or they get a small group of escort ships to stand in for the carrier. Again, as I have said before, a battleship cannot equal all of the capabilities of an aircraft carrier, but its gunnery (mainly) and missile capabilities can fill a gap in striking power.
For example there is a tremendous gulf between the striking ability of a CSG and the same group without the carrier. The small group of escort ships cannot lay out nearly as much ordnance as the group with the carrier. The gulf of ordnance delivery capability is too big for mission accomplishment or economic mission accomplishment. However, when a battleship is introduced to the same group, the entire game changes. The battleship brings 6,000 5" rounds with a range of 13-20nm (if BTERM is completed it will extend the range to 40+nm with GPS guidance), the battleship will embark 124-156 TLAMs, and
the main battery will bring the equivillant of upto 1,200 500lb JDAMs to the group. Between 20nm and 50nm will be subject to rapid delivery of 500lb JDAMs.
I understand people want to count on hypersonic weapons and ballistic missiles, but the fact that hypersonic missiles are being lumped in with ballistic missiles reduces the credibility of the feasibility of hypersonic missiles. If there is a single thing that will be dropped from the AirSea Battle, it is going to be the pursuit of conventional ballistic missiles. I agree with carr when he says that firing ballistic missiles at a power armed with nuclear weapons is dangerous. Historically, ballistic missiles are for delivering WMDs, specifically nuclear weapons, and coming from us, definitely nuclear weapons. There would be
too much confusion if those ballistic missiles, especially Tridents like you suggested, started arcing through the air.
The use of ballistic missiles is politically, strategically, and tactically infeasible, because it invites a nuclear response.Aircraft carriers are very valuable, but their firepower is required in too many places for their numbers. There are too many places requiring their firepower that are close enough to the coast for naval gunnery to strike.
Busto963 wrote:
The world we live in today is very, very, different: we now have a peer competitor, and several major regional powers do have the ability to project power well beyond their borders, and to control/deny approaches at great distances from their shores.
The reality you don't seem to be acknowledging is that the carrier fleet is being thinned so badly that we cannot do what you say. We can't do what the AirSea Battle wants them to do. The US Navy cannot even do what it needs to do, because there
are not going to be enough carriers to fill the basic mission.
So, in the vacuum formed by not having enough carriers, it is too easy to find other, cheaper ships to fill some part of the vacuum created. The question is:
The carrier is not going to be there. What would you rather be there?The answer is the battleship. Yes, they can carry a huge number of tomahawk cruise missiles, but that's not what makes them most valuable. Their most valuable aspect is that they can deliver or threaten to deliver (deterrence) an enormous quantity of ordnance on such a large number of targets when otherwise there would be little or nothing.
So, the fit of the Iowa-class battleships would be:
Exploitation of 11" and 13" subcaliber projectiles extending the range of the 16" guns to 75nm (13") with GPS and possibly laser guidance.
6 x Mk45 Mod2/4 5/62caliber mounts. Replacement of the 5"/38 caliber guns with Mk45 Mod1/2 guns in storage from the Spruance-class and upgunned with the Mod4 5"/62caliber kit.
128-160 x Mk41 VLS tubes for TLAM and ESSM quad pack
3 x RAM launchers
2 x Phalanx CIWs mounts
NULKA and SRBOC decoys
LHD communications suite. This would bring the battleship's communication suite up to modern capabilities. Most importantly it would enable it to communicate with all adjacent forces on the ground and enable it to control up to 12 UAVs at a time.
Reduced LHD electronics package. This would be to remove many of the air traffic control radars from the fit but retain the air picture awareness.
Here is a basic shipbucket representation of the fit I will model.
Here is the last iteration of my original modernized Iowa. I hope to follow a similar path early this coming year.
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So, Busto, does that help clarify anything or sway you any further toward the utility of the battleship? If not, some of my earlier posts make pretty good cases that address what you have already stated.